Friday, November 5, 2010

Semifinal Saturday

I was 19-5 this past week in my playoff picks. I got O'Gorman over Watertown, though it was close.

I missed Lincoln over Stevens, Mobridge over Redfield, Canton over Hot Springs (my bonehead pick of the week), Sully Buttes over Corsica/Stickney, and Flandreau over Tri-Valley.

As for the games I was at, I thought Washington looked the best...but that's expected. I stuck around for the first half, but left to edit the highlights for 6:00 p.m. I didn't miss much after that point.

My second game was Philip at Chester. I've taken heat for my "man-crush" on Chester early this season, and that’s slowly gone away after a couple of losses. That said, you can't argue with what the Flyers have been able to do in the playoffs. Beating Howard in the opening round and dismantling Philip in the second round should provide reason for optimism up there. Reason for pessimism? Bridgewater-Emery/Ethan is next.

After a few quick highlights at Chester, I drove to Dell Rapids for the Quarriers/Tea game. It was 6-0 in favor of Dells in the first quarter (when I got there); it was 28-6 at the half, still in favor of Dell Rapids. Dells had a tougher first round opponent (Milbank) than second round opponent but to their credit, they got the job done without any doubt.

As for this Saturday's semifinals, here are my thoughts...

The game that really sticks out is Hanson vs. Avon. These are the two teams everyone expects to be contending in 9A. I think the Beavers are more talented and are likely to win, but it should be close.

I also like the Dell Rapids St. Mary vs. Hitchcock-Tulare matchup, which is the only game that features two unbeatens. Again, it should be close and I think DRSM takes the game. You never know, though, with these games that have recent playoff history.

Both games in 11B intrigue me, with Flandreau squaring off with Roncalli and Winner and Mobridge set to do battle. The winner of the Winner/Mobridge game might be in great position to win state (I know, I know...we're in the semis, they're ALL in great position). I just see one of those two teams beating whoever wins in the upper half of the bracket.

Dell Rapids vs. West Central has a familiar ring to it and I think the Quarriers are able to get the win. It'll be close and like many of this week's games, I wouldn't be shocked to see it go the other way. I just think West Central's run is bound to come to an end after two big wins on the road.

In 11AA, the big game to me is Roosevelt and O'Gorman. It was at the Dakota Bowl that the Riders first opened some eyes with a defensive 12-9 win over O'G. I'm not a huge fan of Roosevelt's offense, but their defense has been very good. I still haven't completely made up my mind on this game yet, but by the time I get to the bottom of this blog, I'll make a pick.

In the other 11AA game, Washington is going to embarrass Lincoln...whether or not the final score indicates it or not.

Picks:

11AA
Washington over Lincoln
O'Gorman over Roosevelt

11A
Dell Rapids over West Central
Harrisburg over Canton

11B
Roncalli over Flandreau
Winner over Mobridge

9AA
BEE over Chester
Viborg/Hurley over Leola/Frederick

9A
Harding Co. over Sully Buttes
Hanson over Avon

9B
Canistota over Gettysburg (unless DJ and Tyler Fischer suit up for the Battlers)
Dell Rapids St. Mary over Hitchcock-Tulare

Just a heads up that on Friday, I'll be in Marshall for a triple-header at SMSU featuring some of the best HS football teams in Southwest Minnesota. We'll have the highlights at 10:00.

Jim Nelson
KSFY Sports
Twitter: @JimNelsonKSFY

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